Sitemap

A list of all the posts and pages found on the site. For you robots out there is an XML version available for digesting as well.

Pages

Posts

Accuracy Is a Bad Way to Judge a Predictor

6 minute read

Published:

If your accuracy score can be improved by a model that is calibrated worse, the score is broken. Proportion classified correctly is exactly such a score. It is not a minor imperfection to note in the discussion section. It is a metric that will, given the chance, hand you the wrong model and a straight face.

Your Classifier Is Answering the Wrong Question

7 minute read

Published:

A classifier forces a choice. A probability model quantifies a tendency and hands the choice back to whoever is actually equipped to make it. In most of the problems I work on, the second thing is what I want, and the first thing is what I built by accident.

portfolio

Everything Correlates With Survival

Published:

An interactive page: pick any gene, or the weather in Dublin, and watch it split a survival curve. Then shuffle the patients and watch it happen again.

publications

Host-dependent differences in replication strategy of the Sulfolobus spindle-shaped virus strain SSV9 (aka, SSVK1): infection profiles in hosts of the family Sulfolobaceae.

Published in Frontiers in Microbiology, 2020

In this paper, I quantified differential viral pathogen loads as determined by ESI/MS spectra assays and modelled inferred infection dynamics.

Recommended citation: Ceballos, Ruben Michael, Coyne Gareth Drummond, Carson Len Stacy, Elizabeth Padilla-Crespo, and Kenneth Mark Stedman. "Host-dependent differences in replication strategy of the Sulfolobus spindle-shaped virus strain SSV9 (aka, SSVK1): infection profiles in hosts of the family Sulfolobaceae." Frontiers in Microbiology 11 (2020): 1218. https://doi.org/10.3389/fmicb.2020.01218

Quantifying relative virulence: when $\mu$ max fails and AUC alone just is not enough

Published in Journal of General Virology, 2021

This paper is about a temporally weighted metric of differences in growth inhibition resulting from viral infection in microbial populations.

Recommended citation: Ceballos, Ruben Michael, and Carson Len Stacy. "Quantifying relative virulence: when μ max fails and AUC alone just is not enough." Journal of General Virology 102, no. 1 (2021): 001515. https://doi.org/10.1099/jgv.0.001515

Natural variation in yeast reveals multiple paths for acquiring higher stress resistance

Published in BMC Biology, 2024

In this paper, I introduce ordinal logistic regression of yeast survival data for analyzing changes in acquired stress resistatnce

Recommended citation: Scholes, Amanda N., Tara N. Stuecker, Stephanie E. Hood, Cader J. Locke, Carson L. Stacy, Qingyang Zhang, and Jeffrey A. Lewis. "Natural variation in yeast reveals multiple paths for acquiring higher stress resistance." BMC biology 22, no. 1 (2024): 149. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12915-024-01945-7

Stability comparisons between natural versus engineered archaeal heat-shock proteins.

Published in Microorganisms, 2024

In this paper, I developed an analytical workflow and subsequently quantified weighted spectral differences between natural and engineered heat shock proteins.

Recommended citation: Furr, M., Badiee, S. A., Basha, S., Agrawal, S., Alraawi, Z., Heng, S., **Stacy, C. L.**, Ahmed, Y., Moradi, M., Kumar, T. K. S., & Ceballos, R. M. (2024). *Structural Stability Comparisons Between Natural and Engineered Group II Chaperonins: Are Crenarchaeal “Heat Shock” Proteins Also “pH Shock” Resistant?* **Microorganisms**, 12(11), 2348. https://doi.org/10.3390/microorganisms12112348

Diet driven differences in host tolerance are linked to shifts in global gene expression in a common avian host-pathogen system

Published in Molecular Ecology, 2025

In this paper, we examine the transcriptomic effects of diet on the immune response of canaries

Recommended citation: **Sauer, E. L.***, **Stacy, C. L.***, Perrine, W., Love, A. C., Lewis, J. A., & DuRant, S. E. (2025). *Diet driven differences in host tolerance are linked to shifts in global gene expression in a common avian host-pathogen system.* **Molecular Ecology**, 34(12), e17793. *Co-first authors.* https://doi.org/10.1111/mec.17793

MIC*: A framework for interpretable analysis of ordinal viability data

Published in bioRxiv (preprint), 2025

Proportional-odds models with biologically scaled thresholds give an interpretable, uncertainty-quantified alternative to conventional MIC readouts, with companion software (ordinalMIC, MICalculator, BLISS).

Recommended citation: **Stacy, C. L.**, Lenaduwe, S., Stuecker, T. N., & Lewis, J. A. (2025). *MIC\*: A framework for interpretable analysis of ordinal viability data.* **bioRxiv**. doi:10.1101/2025.10.13.682067 https://doi.org/10.1101/2025.10.13.682067

Bicycle-related trauma trends in a region of expanding cycling infrastructure

Published in The American Surgeon, 2025

A retrospective trauma-registry cohort (2014–2022) at a level II trauma centre, relating bicycle-related hospitalisation trends to regional trail usage and state crash data.

Recommended citation: VanDyke, L., Mantooth, R., **Stacy, C.**, Robinson, S., Fischer, P., Mosley, C., Beauford, H., & Jensen, H. (2026). *Bicycle-related trauma trends in a region of expanding cycling infrastructure.* **The American Surgeon**, 92(6), 1630–1636. https://doi.org/10.1177/00031348251405546

Surprising regulatory plasticity for the conserved HOG pathway in diverse Saccharomyces cerevisiae strains

Published in bioRxiv (preprint), 2025

Comparing hog1Δ mutants in a laboratory strain and diverse wild Saccharomyces cerevisiae strains reveals an expanded role for Hog1 in cross-stress protection and gene expression beyond its canonical osmotic-stress function.

Recommended citation: **Stacy, C. L.**, Scholes, A. N., Stuecker, T. N., Hood, S. E., Crook, C. C., Espana-Pena, M., Paré, A. C., & Lewis, J. A. (2025). *Surprising regulatory plasticity for the conserved HOG pathway in diverse Saccharomyces cerevisiae strains.* **bioRxiv**. doi:10.64898/2025.12.28.696518 https://doi.org/10.64898/2025.12.28.696518

Genome-wide assessment of DNA methylation fidelity identifies representative ovarian cancer cell line models

Published in Journal of Cellular and Molecular Medicine, 2026

Infinium 450K/EPIC profiles of 60 ovarian cancer cell lines and 108 tumours, compared by correlation and effect size across genomic and epigenomic domains, identify cell lines that faithfully represent each histotype.

Recommended citation: Jordan, A., Caffrey, A., **Stacy, C.**, Huang, R. Y., Tan, T. Z., McCabe, A., Dean, K., Das, S., & Perry, A. S. (2026). *Genome-wide assessment of DNA methylation fidelity identifies representative ovarian cancer cell line models.* **Journal of Cellular and Molecular Medicine**, 30(16), e71334. https://doi.org/10.1111/jcmm.71334

talks

teaching

Supplemental Instruction (SI) Leader - General Chemistry II, Honors General Chemistry II, and Fundamentals of Chemistry

Undergraduate Supplemental Instruction Course, University of Arkansas, Department of Student Success, 2015

During my sophomore through senior years of college, I served as a Supplemental Instruction (SI) Leader for General Chemistry II, Honors General Chemistry II, and Fundamentals of Chemistry. This role allowed me to support students in mastering challenging chemistry concepts through collaborative learning sessions.

Peace Corps Volunteer: General Chemistry

High School course, Kolahun High School, 2017

As a Peace Corps Volunteer in Liberia, I had the rewarding experience of teaching high school chemistry. During my service, I developed and implemented a comprehensive chemistry curriculum tailored to the needs of my students, who were eager to learn despite the challenging circumstances. My approach was hands-on and interactive, emphasizing practical experiments and real-world applications of chemical principles.

Teaching Assistant - Principles of Biology Lab

Undergraduate Laboratory Course, University of Arkansas, Department of Biological Sciences, 2022

From August 2022 to December 2023, I served as a Teaching Assistant for the Principles of Biology Lab, where I played a crucial role in guiding students through foundational biological concepts and laboratory techniques. My responsibilities spanned a range of instructional and support activities aimed at creating a dynamic and effective learning environment.

Teaching Assistant - Human Physiology Lab

Undergraduate Laboratory Course, University of Arkansas, Department of Biological Sciences, 2024

As a Teaching Assistant for the Human Physiology Lab, I played a pivotal role in enhancing students’ understanding of complex physiological concepts through hands-on learning and interactive instruction. My responsibilities encompassed a range of tasks designed to support both students and faculty, ensuring a comprehensive and effective learning experience.

Teaching Assistant - Genomic Data Analysis

Graduate Bioinformatics Course, University of Arkansas, Department of Biological Sciences, 2025

As a Teaching Assistant for the Genomic Data Analysis Course, I support an advanced graduate curriculum that I co-developed with my graduate advisor in 2023. This course integrates theoretical insights with practical applications in high-throughput sequencing and bioinformatics, empowering students to tackle complex genomic datasets with confidence.